THE LOTTERY WORKS

TheLtteryWRKS

LOTTERY ODDS, Numerology and The UK National Lottery

The UK National Lottery is a lottery with balls numbered 1 to 49 inclusive. To win you must correctly choose 6 numbers in any order. A given number can only be chosen once per try. The draws are held on Wednesdays and Saturdays of each week. Each entry costs £1. After expenses, commission and donations to "Good Causes" the rest goes into a "Pool Fund." The First Draw took place on Saturday 19th November 1994. The first Wednesday draw took place on 5th February 1997


How much could I win?

It depends on the Pool Fund available for that draw and the numbers you have correctly chosen:

3 numbers correct (odds of getting this are 1:57) pays £10 guaranteed.
4 nos. correct (odds 1:1053) pays about £38-£100 (22% of Pool fund.)
5 nos. correct (odds 1:55,492) pays about £600-£2,000 (10% of Fund)

5 nos. correct, plus the bonus ball (7th ball drawn) (odds of 1:2,330,636).
This is the only use of the Bonus Ball and pays from £50,000 to £200,000 (16% of Fund))

The "Jackpot" means 6 out of 6 correct selections (odds of 1:13,983,816) pays £1 million to £15 million (52% of Pool Fund). The average current amount is £2 million.

The Maths Explained 

In order to correctly get all 6 numbers you have to pick the first number right AND the second number right AND the third number right, etc., This means the first number has a 1/49th chance of appearing. The second, a 1/48th, the third a 1/47th etc. To work out your odds you would multiply each of these fractions together: 

1/49 × 1/48 × 1/47 × 1/46 × 1/45 × 1/44 = 1/10,068,347,520 

So, at this point, your odds of winning are 1 in 10,068,347,520. But, you can choose your winning numbers in any order. Consequently, your chances of winning are better than this. Your chance gets better by the number of different ways that a sequence of 6 numbers can be written down, which for 6 numbers is 6 factorial. Factorial means, the number resulting from multiplying a whole number by every whole number between itself and 1 inclusive. 6 factorial, or 6!, therefore, is 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1. The result is 720. Divide 10068347520 by 720 to get 13,983,816. Lets say 14 million to 1. Or lets say, if you spend £1 a week on the UK National Lottery, you may win the jackpot in 270,000 years time.  

ODDS IN PERSPECTIVE

 THE ODDS OF:

 a meteor landing on your house: 182,138,880,000,000 to 1 

winning the EuroMillions lottery jackpot are 76 million to one 

contracting the human version of mad cow disease: 1 in 40,000,000 

being struck by lightning are about a 1 in 2,000,000 chance 

getting a royal flush in poker on first five cards dealt: 649,740 to 1 

a pregnant woman has a 1 in 705,000 chance of giving birth to quadruplets 

someone eating an oyster finding a pearl inside of it - 1 in 12,000 

getting haemorrhoids: 25 to 1 

The Best Numbers To Select? 

If a number has been drawn previously, does that make it more or less likely to be drawn next time?  Well, if you toss a coin repeatedly and it comes down "Heads" 50 times in a row, the next flip still gives only a 50% chance of getting a "Tail". But, over a long period of time, you might expect the variations to get less. Statistically speaking, any six numbers are as LIKELY to occur as any six others. So, choosing any six numbers is as "likely" as any others! Therefore, your criterion could be to choose numbers that others DON'T choose, so that when you DO win, you win more money. DO stick with your numbers if you're happy with them. If you aren't, consider choosing less popular ones, to increase your potential winnings. Avoid for example these possible popular selections:


01, 03, 05, 07, 10, 13, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, and 49

 In other words, avoid any systematic choices. Too many other players usually think along the same lines, and some therefore may copy your selection. For example, many players choose numbers based on family birth dates, and so numbers 1 to 31 are selected more often.

 The law of averages

The law of averages is a lay term. It’s generally used to express the view that eventually, everything "evens out." For example: The more children you have, the more likely there will be an equal division of boys and girls. The longer you flip a coin, the more likely the number of heads and tails will be the same. The more times lottery balls are drawn, the more likely they will all be drawn the same number of times. If a particular lottery ball has NOT been drawn, it is more likely to be drawn in future. 

So, every outcome in a fair game exhibits identical probabilities equal to the underlying probability of the game.

The formal mathematical theory that supports the law of averages is called “the law of large numbers.” It states that a large sample of a particular probable event will tend to reflect the underlying probabilities. For example, after tossing a coin 1000 times, we would expect the result to be approximately 500 heads, because this would reflect the underlying 50% chance of a heads for any given flip.

However, while the average will move closer to the underlying probability, in absolute terms deviation from the expected value will increase. For example, after 1000 coin flips, we might see say 530 heads. After 10,000 flips, we might get 5080 heads. The average has now moved closer to the underlying 50%, from .30 to .5080. However, the absolute deviation from the expected number of heads in real terms has gone up from 30 to 80. 

The term, "law of large numbers" was possibly introduced by Siméon-Denis Poisson (1781 to 1840) a French mathematician, geometer, and physicist, in 1835, as he discussed an earlier version of it put forward by a James Bernoulli (1654 – 1705) 

It is important to understand that no outcome in a fair game is at any point, in any way whatsoever, affected by any other past or future outcome within the game. 

This can be illustrated in something referred to as “The gambler's fallacy” This is the mistaken belief that past events will affect future events when dealing with random activities. It usually involves some of the following misconceptions: 

A random event is more/less likely to occur because it has not happened for a long time;  

A random event is more/les likely to occur because it recently happened;

These are common misunderstandings that arise in everyday reasoning about probabilities. Many people lose money while gambling due to their belief in this fallacy. 

The chances of something happening the next time are not necessarily related to what has already happened before. It is just the chance of it occurring again, based on the underlying probability, of whatever is being observed. 

The only way to increase your chances of winning the lottery, is possibly, to buy more tickets or participate in a syndicate with mathematically chosen lines !

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